InMobile.org has been having a debate about the future of Mobile Social Networking. Here is my contribution to the discussion.
1. Who will be THE biggest winner in Mobile Social Networking?
a) Today's big social networking companies (e.g. Facebook),
b) Independent mobile social networking companies (e.g. MocoSpace) or c) Some other type of company?
Mobile social networking will have a variety morphologies:
communication will be important in some but other mobile social networking services
will be maps, navigation, user generated content or situation awareness centric. Along the continuum social networking
importance, as a feature, will vary according to membership behavior and developer
creativity. My personal view is that it
is subjective content that matters and social networking is secondary.
All businesses will be driven by value, relevance, stickiness
and user acquisition. Each of the
contingent parties: carriers, social networking company, device manufacturers, carrier
sponsored independents, device sponsored independents or independent
will approach the challenge by exploiting their strengths.
The degree of success will be weighted less by the unassailable
strengths of the incumbents but more by their obstacles.
The carriers? demarcation of on-deck services limits those
companies that partner with them. Business
model, value cannibalization and other limiting constraints suffocate the user
experience and innovation.
Social networking companies / portals must have a technology
lowest common denominator approach and will naturally favor PC services that translate
to mobile (search, messaging and status updates). However they may not have access to all
handsets or location coordinates.
Device manufacturers are
very fragmented and have
relationships with the carriers to maintain. Merging combinations of
the above, will meet increased resistance before they reach critical
mass.
My preference is independents that have killer mobile applications,
supported by social networking, which are able to rise above the noise.
The jigsaw puzzle has many pieces and not all are interchangeable. Winner
takes all does not apply here, web-based incumbents must lose share in
the mobile ecosystem. Licensing mobile social networking patents is a
good place to be too.
2. What is THE most important unique feature about mobile that will make MOBILE social networking different?
Location will be the most important feature, combined with immediacy and always on awareness.
3. What is the business model for mobile social networking?
I'm
not a big believer in subscriptions for social networking. Some
brands may feel they command a premium, but in time people will
unsubscribe and again the brands will lose share. So an ad-supported
model is important long term. If your membership can command high
value CPM, so much the better.
Julian Bourne
CEO & Founder, Proxpro Inc.
Julian Bourne is an inventor of mobile social networking and
other award-winning GPS mobile applications. He was granted a mobile
social networking patent US #7,310,676 and a further patent allowed; He
launched the world's first location-based (AGPS) mobile social
networking application in the UK provisioned to events attended by
500,000 people (Oct 2004); won the NAVTEQ Global LBS Challenge, best social networking application, April
2006 (4 winners / 140 entrants); He has built the first GPS navigation
application personalized to the digital calendar. This patent pending
product is called Prompt. It makes sure people are never late, and has
been described as "a service more intelligent and resourceful than
anything we've seen before" (Mobile Messenger 2.0, July 2008) because it gives people the ability to predict the future. Proxpro
is based near Boston MA.